Peking Luck

What is Peking Luck?

For the right audience, likely professional traders and sophisticated retail investors, the CME futures on FutureSports indexes could amount to “Goldilocks” offerings because the derivatives aren’t standard sports bets nor are they carbon copies of the event contracts traded on prediction markets.

The MLB and NHL futures contracts could be deployed by big-money bettors as hedges on various team exposures over the course of those leagues’ seasons.

As for the regulatory outlooks for the ETFs, the SEC hasn’t publicly commented on the NHL funds’ fates and it’s too early to tell what will come of the MLB filings, but there are hundreds of futures-based ETFs on the market today.

About Peking Luck

“Hopefully [the players] are mature enough to know that one of 17 is nothing,” Kubiak said.

Running back Ashton Jeanty fully participated in practice Friday after dealing with an ankle injury that sidelined him prior to Week 1. Jeanty delivered a standout performance against Miami, rushing for 102 yards on 23 carries while adding six receptions for 45 yards and two touchdowns.

The Raiders’ revamped offensive line didn’t allow a single sack against Miami while opening running lanes for Jeanty. However, they face a significantly tougher test Sunday against Khalil Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu, and the Chargers’ pass rush.

How to play Peking Luck

With odds of 17% on Kalshi’s futures market, the Rams are the only NFL team to open the season with double-digit odds. The probability translates to +488 in American odds, a figure that is regarded as comparatively low for a Super Bowl favourite. But history is not on the Rams’ side – all of the last 25 NFL teams to open a season with futures odds of +500 or lower have failed to win the Super Bowl, according to Yahoo Sports.

In May, the NFL sent a letter to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission with a list of certain event contracts it deemed objectionable. By July, the league doubled down with public comments to the CFTC after the agency issued draft regulations for the contracts. The NFL cited props on player injuries, penalty totals and missed field goals as those that fit the bill. Goodell, however, conceded that the NFL has held discussions regarding prediction markets as public policy evolves.

Two other leagues, Major League Baseball and the National Hockey League, have each signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the CFTC that allows participating teams to partner with the operators.